Search all homes for sale in the Tri-State Area from your personal cell phone.
One of the top real estate agents in the Tri-State Area announced today that cell phones can be turned into the ultimate house-hunting tool. John & Mary Luca with The Luca's Tri-State Team at Prudential Fox & Roach is providing consumers with a mobile application called Homes for Sale that makes it possible to search all local property listings from their phone, regardless of whether it is listed by John Luca or another broker/agent. Homes for Sale can be downloaded to cell phones, iPhones and BlackBerry devices by visiting www.TriStateTeam.com.
With Homes for Sale, consumers can be in any neighborhood and view detailed home information at the touch of a button. The GPS technology in the mobile phone, where available, locates users and pulls up addresses and information on property listings in their immediate area. Sales price, square footage, tax information, beds/baths, interior and exterior features and pictures become available instantly in the palm of their hand.
Consumers can also search by city, zip code, address, or community name when GPS is not available, or if they want to search for real estate in a particular area other than their current location.
The “Call to See” feature within the Homes for Sale application will connect users to John Luca if they have further questions or want to schedule a tour of the property.
"We're all about providing excellent service to our clients by combining the technology they need with our personal market expertise,” said Mary Luca, who is e-Pro Certified.
When downloading the application from John and Mary’s website, www.TriStateTeam.com, consumers will find a "Search for Homes from Your Cell Phone" tool which provides instructions on how to send the application to their personal cell phone. Users simply select their cell phone carrier, the make/model of their device and enter their cell phone number into the downloader tool. Instantly, the application is sent via text message and downloaded to their cell phone just like a game or ringtone.
Homes for Sale is available across every carrier and mobile device via a fully downloadable application or mobile web (WAP) version. The fully downloadable version is live on hundreds of cell phone models on AT&T, Sprint and T-Mobile. If your carrier or cell phone model is not listed on the downloader tool, simply select ‘Other’ and download the mobile web (WAP) version. Smarter Agent is also available on BlackBerry devices as well as the iPhone. The fully downloadable version for Windows Mobile devices, as well as other devices and major carriers, will be added over the coming months.
Homes for Sale is free to download on BlackBerry devices across all carriers and the iPhone, in addition to the free WAP version. For other devices, a nominal monthly carrier charge may apply, dependent on device and carrier, billed directly to your carrier statement.
Pending sales for April 2009 in the $150,000 & Under price range are up for April by almost 12% compared to April 2008. This is great news for the housing market and also means that the $8000 tax credit for First Time Buyers, along with the historic low interest rates, are definitely stimulating the housing market in this price range. Over time this will have a positive effect on the higher price ranges, as sellers will now be in a better position to “move-up” buying more expensive homes, which for now are still selling at rates below sales numbers for 2008.
Other positive data includes signs of price stabilization in the $150,000-$400,000 price range where the average sold price for the first 4 months of 2009 is 99.6% of the average sold price compared with the first 4 months of 2008.
If you have a question about your particular home or market sector, feel free to give me a call at 302-999-6966. John
This is a great time to purchase a home if you are a first time home buyer. Besides all of the new tax credits and mortgage programs, you may also qualify for an exemption on County Transfer Tax.
Whenever you buy or sell real property in Delaware you must pay transfer tax to the County and State. The State offers no exemptions, however the County carves out a special exemption for first time home buyers.
In order to qualify for the County exemption you must certify that you have not owned any real property. If you meet this criteria and you are not buying in an incorporated city or town, you will be exempt from your portion of the County transfer tax when you purchase.
This information does not constitute an attorney client relationship nor is it intended as legal advice.
The question below gives a high level idea of the financial risk you take when bidding on real estate if the property is not valued properly.
Q: Someone in our online forum asked if it was okay to pay $620k for a completely updated dated 3br 2.5ba house in Greenville, Delaware, stating that a house next door sold for that much in 2006.
A: Without seeing the property and comparing it to other sold homes in the area, it would not be possible to give you an accurate answer and would do you an injustice to try to give a yes or no at this point. Meeting with a professional realtor who has experience in studying and pricing homes accurately, and negotiating is recommended to inform you and protect your interests.
However in general, the market is down since 2006. For all of 2006 in the Greenville, Hockessin, Centreville area, the average sold price for homes (that settled in the $50k to $2mm range) was $556,906. Whereas the average sold price for the same range of homes from July 2008 through Feb 2009 was down to $490,602.
To peg the bid for your next home strictly on one home's sales price next door that sold in 2006, would be risky. If you would like an analysis prepared for you, please contact a professional realtor. Typically real estate agents do not charge to work with buyers (we do not), and therefore your representation is free - from finding a home with you, through negotiations (and re-negotiations after a home inspection if needed) - all the way through settlement.
Please let us know if you have further questions or would like a detailed analysis prepared for you.
Sincerely,
John Luca - Licensed in PA, DE & MD
Full Time Expertise - Working Full Time for You!
When researching where you want to live, a handy reference tool is WalkScore. Walkable neighborhoods offer surprising benefits to our health, the environment, and our communities. Use the WalkScore tool below to type in your current address or the address of a home you are considering.
Things keep getting better for first time home buyers. DSHA has once again lowered its rates for the assisted and non-assisted loans.
Non-assisted loan: 5.5%
Assisted loan: 6.25%
www.destatehousing.com
Call me if you have any questions.
Jason Infanti
Mortgage Consultant
Trident Mortgage Company (302) 999-6940 (302) 999-0578
Jason@JohnLuca.com
How’s the real estate market? Well compared to the stock market – I’d say pretty good!
This is actually the most opportunistic market I’ve seen in years.
And I’m very excited about the opportunities for both Buyers and Sellers.
The first-time buyer tax credit of $8000 recently passed by Congress is already jump- starting the activity in the first time buyer price range 0- $200,000.
The great news for sellers is home values have only declined modestly in our area compared to other parts of the country. So now would be an excellent time to make a move up, downsize or head to warmer markets where the deals are fantastic.
New Castle County Real Estate Market for February 2009, had an increase in homes under contract along with an increase in homes sold vs January 2009. In addition we saw a decrease in the number of homes “On the Market” dropping from 3977 to 3866 (3% decrease). This continued a 3 month trend of a lower Month’s Supply of Inventory (MSI). The MSI tells how many months it would take to sell all the homes in the county at the current monthly sales average. The MSI is a calculated by taking the current number of homes on the market divided by the average monthly sales number, with the assumption that no more homes would come on the market over that period. We know that homes will continually be coming on the market, but for the purpose of this calculation we use only the number of homes on the market as of right now. For Example, currently there are 3056 homes on the market with an average monthly sales volume of 360 homes sold. Dividing 3056 by 360 equals the number of months it would take to absorb this inventory or 8.5 months. In a strong seller’s market the MSI could be as low as 2-3 months like what had in 2004-2006. In a strong buyer’s market the MSI, would be anything above 10 months of inventory. I consider the market to be a “Neutral Market” whenever the MSI ranges between 5-7 months.
The median sold price and the average sold price continue to decline. The average sold price for the county in Feb 09 was 235,000 and the median was $200,000 - down from $269,000 and $230,000 respectively, from Feb 2008 numbers.
Download March 2009 Newsletter NCCO report
If you have specific questions on buying, selling or investing - please call me (John Luca) at 302-999-6966. Have a great day - I'm off to shovel a driveway at a vacant home for my seller - we've got a buyer touring it today :)
The 2009 First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit
Ken Trepeta
Director, Real Estate Services
National Association of Realtors®
February 19, 2009
Overview
· In 2008 Congress created a $7,500 First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit.
· It went into effect April 8, 2008 and was set to expire July 1, 2009.
· The big problem: It had to be repaid over 15 years. People viewed it as a debt and not a benefit.
NAR Proposes Changes
In 2008 NAR began advocating to:
· Remove the repayment feature of the credit
· Extend the credit to the end of 2009
· Make the credit available to every home buyer
The 2009 Tax Credit
Working with Realtors® across the country:
· We succeeded in removing the repayment requirement for 2009.
· The credit has been extended to on or before November 30, 2009 and can be claimed by those who closed on homes on or after January 1, 2009. It is still repayable for 2008 purchases.
· The credit has been expanded to $8,000.
· But, it is still only for first time homebuyers
Credit Details
•The new Credit is an $8,000 REFUNDABLE Tax Credit (or up to 10% of the purchase price).
–So if the property is $75,000, the credit is only $7,500. (Assume a property over $80,000 for the rest of the discussion).
•Refundable means that if your total tax liability in the given year is less than $8,000, the IRS will send a refund for the balance.
Refundability –Why it’s Important
· Many taxpayers do not have tax liability that exceeds $8,000.
o For example, according to the 2008 IRS Tax Tables:
· A single filer would need $46,600 in taxable income to have $8,000 in tax liability.
· A couple would need $58,600 in taxable income to have $8,000 in tax liability.
· Those with less tax liability will in most cases get a refund meaning they get the full value of the credit.
Who cannot take the credit?
If any of the following:
–Your income exceeds the phase-out range. This means joint filers with Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) of $170,000 and above and other taxpayers with MAGI of $95,000 and above.
–You buy your home from a close relative. This includes your spouse, parent, grandparent, child or grandchild.
–You stop using your home as your main home.
–You sell your home before the end of three years.
–You are a nonresident alien.
First-Time Homebuyer Definition
•Defined as someone who owned another main home at any time during the three years prior to the date of purchase.
–For example, if you bought a home on January 15, 2009, you cannot take the credit for that home if you owned, or had an ownership interest in, another home at any time from January 15, 2006 through January 15, 2009.
–So if the last time you owned a home was 2005, you are eligible for the credit even though it is really not your “first” home.
–For married joint filers, both must meet the 1sttime homebuyer test to take the credit on a joint return.
More on Income Limits
Type Income Limit Phase Out Start
Single Filer $ 95,000 $ 75,000
Married Filers $170,000 $150,000
This means that for singles making over $75,000 and couples making over $150,000, the credit is proportionately reduced as incomes approach $95,000 and $170,000 respectively.
So if a couple makes $165,000, the excess amount is used to create a fraction 15,000/20,000 (.75) times the credit amount. 75% or $6,000 of the credit would be disallowed. They would still get a $2,000 credit.
The Home
•Must be the “main home” i.e. principal residence. Which is generally considered to be the home where you spend 50% or more of your time. It can be a condo, Single Family detached, co-op, townhouse or something similar.
•The home must be located in the
•Vacation homes and rental properties are not eligible.
•For new construction, the “purchase date” is the date you occupy the home. So the move in date must be before December 1, 2009.
Recapture-3 Year Residency
•If the home is sold prior to three years of ownership, the tax credit must be repaid.
–This is an improvement from the prior credit. That credit needed to be repaid in total over 15 years or the balance had to be repaid on sale.
•This provision is designed to prevent flipping homes in order to get the credit.
Other Provisions
•The new credit is available to residents of the
•Purchasers who utilize state/local revenue bond financing can now use the credit.
•Purchasers who bought before January 1, 2009 are still subject to the terms of the repayable credit.
When Can You Claim the Credit?
•It can be claimed on your 2008 Tax Return (to be filed by April 15, 2009), an amended 2008 Tax Return, or your 2009 Tax Return.
•NAR and industry partners tried to get the credit made available at closing but policymakers balked. In addition, it was explained that even if a system could be devised, it would delay closings by several weeks.
Conclusion
•The new credit is greatly improved compared to the old credit.
•It is a true credit and does not need to be repaid as long as you occupy the home for 3 years.
•NAR estimates that hundreds of thousands of potential buyers will take advantage of the credit.
•For more info on the credit and the 2009 Stimulus legislation visit http://www.realtor.org/government_affairs/gapublic/american_recovery_reinvestment_act_home?lid=ronav0019or consult your tax adviser.
CAVEAT
This is information is accurate based on information available as of February 19, 2009. As with any tax law change, check with a tax advisor if there are any questions regarding using this provision.
FIRST-TIME HOMEBUYER TAX CREDIT
As Modified in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
Major Modifications Shaded
February 2009
|
FEATURE |
CREDIT AS CREATED JULY 2008 APPLIES TO ALL QUALIFIED PURCHASES ON OR AFTER APRIL 9, 2008 |
REVISED CREDIT – EFFECTIVE FOR PURCHASES ON OR AFTER JANUARY 1, 2009 AND BEFORE DECEMBER 1, 2009 |
|
Amount of Credit |
Lesser of 10 percent of cost of home or $7500 |
Maximum credit amount increased to $8000 |
|
Eligible Property |
Any single family residence (including condos, co-ops, townhouses) that will be used as a principal residence. |
No change All principal residences eligible. |
|
Refundable |
Yes. Reduces (or can eliminate) income tax liability for the year of purchase. Any unused amount of tax credit refunded to purchaser. |
No change Purchasers will continue to receive refund for unused amount when tax return is filed. |
|
Income Limit |
Yes. Full amount of credit available for individuals with adjusted gross income of no more than $75,000 ($150,000 on a joint return). Phases out above those caps ($95,000 and $170,000). |
No change Same income limits continue to apply. |
|
First-time Homebuyer Only |
Yes. Purchaser (and purchaser’s spouse) may not have owned a principal residence in 3 years previous to purchase. |
No change Still available for first-time purchasers only. Three-year rule continues to apply. |
|
Revenue Bond Financing |
No credit allowed if home financed with state/local bond funding. |
Purchasers who utilize revenue bond financing can use credit. |
|
Repayment |
Yes. Portion (6.67% of credit or $500) to be repaid each year for 15 years, starting with 2010 tax filing. |
No repayment for purchases on or after January 1, 2009 and before December 1, 2009 |
|
Recapture |
If home sold before 15-year repayment period ends, then outstanding balance of repayment amount recaptured on sale. |
If home is sold within three years of purchase, entire amount of credit is recaptured on sale. Applies only to homes purchased in 2009. |
|
Termination |
July 1, 2009 (But note program changes for 2009) |
December 1, 2009 |
|
Effective Date |
Purchases on or after April 9, 2008 and before January 1, 2009. Repayment to begin for 2010 tax year. |
All revisions are effective as of January 1, 2009 |
For more information contact Jason Infanti at 302-999-6940 and Jason@JohnLuca.com
Title insurance is protection against loss arising from problems connected with the title of your property. Some common title problems are unsatisfied liens, forgeries, fraudulent conveyances, incapacitation and trust and estate open interests.
Many people ask why they need title insurance if a search has been preformed on the property. Title insurance is issued after a careful examination of copies of the public records. But even the most thorough search cannot absolutely assure that no title hazards are present, despite the experience of attorneys and title examiners. Moreover, searches cannot reveal issues such as forgeries and fraud.
If you plan to mortgage a property, your lender will require that you purchase them a lenders policy of title insurance. However, a lenders policy alone will not protect you. Title insurance policies protect against loss, and a lender policy would only cover the lender's loss. You must purchase an owners policy to cover owner losses. Owner losses can be quite substantial; therefore no homeowner should be without title insurance.
This is not intended to be legal advice and does not constitute an attorney client relationship.
I would like to announce a little good news occurring in the New Castle County Real Estate Market for January 2009. We have had a $15,000 increase in the median home price average compared to December 2008 and a $9000 increase in the average sold price compared to December 2008. Comparing these levels with averages from one year ago, I am also encouraged by the fact that the decline in the median home price average is only 2.2% and the average sold price is only 4.2%. As a whole our county along with the Philadelphia Metro region, is fairing much better than most of areas across the country. Additionally our 9.7 Months Supply of Inventory (MSI) is at its lowest level since September 2008 when it was 9.2, which again compares favorably with national levels.
Before we get too excited, there has been a fairly significant reduction in the number of homes selling. Home Sales for January 2009 are off 33% at 207 sales compared to 309 sales for Jan 2008. Heading into to Spring, I would say as long interest rates remain low we will have decent activity and sales in the market. The key for sellers is to be aggressively competitive to stand out. Buyers are still looking for deals and will find them because they are out there.
For more details download the charts below, or contact me at 302-740-5872
Regards,John Luca
Download Jan 2009 Median-Sold Avg
Download Jan 2009 Mo. Supp Inv
DSHA just issued new Bond and Grant money this morning
Grant money
Old rate: 6.75%
New rate: 6.50%
Bond money
Old rate: 6.25%
New Rate 6.00%
These rates are for new reservations only. Please call me if you have any questions 302-999-6940 or John at 302-999-6966.
-Jason
Tired of getting organized for taxes? As fellow real estate investors, we know it takes countless hours to manage property finances, especially when tax season comes around. As a service to our investor clients, we provide Simplify'em - easy to use property management software, designed by former Intuit Executives and it's free. You can organize rental income and expenses for your properties and be ready for taxes in one click.
Yes, it's cold outside, but spring abounds at Longwood Gardens.
The Orchid Extravaganza began this weekend, and it's extraordinary. It tantalizes the senses with sights, smells and sounds (yes, the sounds of various waterfalls and gardens). And it lifts the spirits as we await the coming of spring.
The Longwood Gardens Orchid Extravaganza runs from January 24 to March 31, 2009. To learn more click here.
Below are just a few photos our daughter took to bring Longwood to you :)
Enjoy! Mary & John Luca
Did you ever wonder what the house down the street sold for? Did you ever wish you could set up up a search so that you can be updated when homes sell in a certain area, or a certain size?
We've worked extremely hard to get you that data, and are pleased to announce it is available NOW on our site at www.TriStateTeam.com
Why?
We hope you enjoy using this new Active & Sold Listing Search Tool, and will call on us when you are ready to Buy or Sell real estate, and remember to refer your friends to us. (302-740-5872)
Click here to give it a test drive:
Have a great evening,
Mary & John Luca
I thought you'd enjoy this shot of my brother, Mike, on Red Mill Pond from this weekend. As my brother says, only three months until we can put the boat in :) .
While we're waiting for the thaw, let's take a look at market price activity for single family homes in Sussex County over the past five years.
I looked up some stats in the Sussex MLS, and although the market is down you’ll see it’s not drastic - we are much better off than other sectors of the nation (John could go into more specific detail, as he’s the real market man - feel free to call him on 302-740-5872).
Here’s just a few Sussex numbers:
5 year Residential Single Family Median and Average Sold Price History:
|
Year |
Average Sold Price |
Median Sold Price |
|
2004 |
$343,188 |
$240,000 |
|
2005 |
$413,605 |
$285,000 |
|
2006 |
$404,951 |
$284,250 |
|
2007 |
$404,414 |
$286,950 |
|
2008 |
$378,989 |
$265,000 |
Have a nice evening – and let’s think spring so we can enjoy more outdoor activities soon (and get that boat in!)
Mary
After witnessing (by radio) the uplifting the Eagles’ win yesterday, I thought you might enjoy some positive news on market activity.
Market activity can be measured in many ways (as you’ve seen from the statistics on this blog), however there are a couple anecdotal signs of positive market activity that I tend to take notice of when they occur. First, when a home goes under contract within the first 7-10 days that it’s on the market, and second, when I see another realtor showing the same house at the same time that I’m showing it to a client. Well I witnessed them both firsthand yesterday.
First, imagine my surprise when I pull up to the home where I’m about to meet my clients for a showing, and the “For Sale” sign in the yard has another little sign rider, attached to the top of it which says “Sale Pending” (when setting up the home for the tour less than 24 hours prior, it was not pending and had only been on the market 9 days). This home was priced in the mid- $400’s and was located in PA (Delaware County). This represents a perfect example of when a home is priced properly from the start, it can sell quickly, even in a “slow” market.
My second wonder of the day occurred at the third home of yesterday’s tour. On a day when a high percentage of the Delaware Valley population was watching the Philadelphia Eagles win their big playoff game with the Giants, there happened to be another realtor showing the same house I was about to show. This used to be quite common just a few years ago, when the market was going strong, but rarely does it happen these days.
Does this mean that the real estate market has turned around overnight? No, but this is truly a great time to be in the market either buying or selling.
With the interest rates once again at historic lows, and home prices at affordable levels, buyers can take advantage of a great opportunity. Sellers also stand ready to benefit.
The sellers who have chosen to price their home in the market can also take advantage of this opportunistic time when winter inventories are a little lower and the current buyers are ready, willing and able.
If you have any questions on buying or selling in this market, don't hesitate to call me at 302-740-5872.
Regards,
John
In a conversation with a broker the other night, it came to mind that the market today, actually has shorter Days on Market (DOM) than back in 1990-1991 when interests rates were significantly higher than they are today.
To prove whether memory served correctly, I've dug up old MLS books from New Castle County for the 1990-1991 era for DOM statistics to compare to today. You'll notice that with the change in technology and measurement capabilities, I have data for 6 month time periods for '90-'91 versus monthly data for 2008, however, the point is proven.
I've also included data from our mortgage consultant (Jason) showing the significant difference in interest rates between the two time periods.
The point is - the market is slower, and it slowed down faster this time, however, in some ways it's still not as bad as it has been in the past, and we recovered then.
Just food for positive thought.
Have a great day,
Mary
We just had to take a moment to congratulate BellaVista Trattoria on their 1st Anniversary!
A year ago, a savory new Italian Restaurant opened in the Shops at Limestone Hills. It was love at first bite when we tasted their salads - unlike any we'd experienced before. Soon we found that my (Mary's) siblings were going there, as well as my mother. It seems the whole of Hockessin, Pike Creek and nearby Newark were on to this gem. When my sister-in-law Peggy and I found out that the restaurant was closed on Sundays, we thought we'd have to stockpile on Saturday nights so that we could get our "fix" of BellaVista's treats on Sundays (not to worry - they are open Sundays now).
John took an instant liking to one of the owners - Nunzio - who is an honestly friendly Italian, not unlike John. They became like family.
The restaurant has grown in the past year, and only improved with age. In the fair weather they have an outdoor dining area which is delightful. In the winter, the indoor seating is perfect for cozy dates or family gatherings at table. The take-out service is excellent, and in the past year they received their liquor license and now I can enjoy a fine glass of wine with my meal.
The food....well, there's too much to cover here, and frankly I don't have words for it all. I'll tell you our two favorite salads, and you'll just have to visit BellaVista to test everything else:
On a final food note, the desserts are the perfect complement to any meal. The cannoli we had last night was (as John put it) "as good as it gets" - and that's saying a lot coming from an Italian who has sampled many a cannoli in his day.
The BellaVista restaurant also has a heart. Visit their web site to find out about their involvement with the Basket Brigade of Delaware and their Bella Bucks Program (a dining-in program is designed to help non-profits, schools and churches reach their fundraising goals). They also have a frequent diner card which benefits you directly as you make BellaVista part of your family.
Here's a link to BellaVista's web site where you can learn more about how they partner with local purveyors to get the freshest ingredients, download their menu, and sign up for their newsletter.
And when you visit - please tell Nunzio that John and Mary sent you - he'll treat you like family!
Mary
PS - Disclaimer - I'm not Italian, I'm Irish - so anyone can love this food :)
Here's a Market Snapshot for the Greenville, Hockessin, Centerville area:
Comparing the Median Sales Price of Dec 2008 vs.Dec 2007 we see a 7.6% decrease - $425,000 down from $460,000. Average Days on Market increased from 83 DOM in Dec 2007 to 102 DOM in Dec 2008.
Keep in mind this is a one month comparison, to view the 12 month chart with a polynomial trend line click on the "Download" links below.
For the Middletown, Townsend, Odessa, Clayton, Smyrna area:
Comparing the Median Sales Price of Dec 2008 vs.Dec 2007 we see a "Rare"10.3% increase - $320,000 up from $289,999. Average Days on Market increased from 98 DOM in Dec 2007 to 122 DOM in Dec 2008. Keep in mind this is a one month comparison, to view the 12 month chart with a polynomial trend line click on the "Download" links below.
For the Newark, Bear, Glasgow area:
Comparing the Median Sales Price of Dec 2008 vs.Dec 2007 we see a 5.9% decrease - $215,000 down from $228,500,000. Average Days on Market increased from 62 DOM in Dec 2007 to 70 DOM in Dec 2008. Keep in mind this is a one month comparison, to view the 12 month chart with a polynomial trend line click on the "Download" links below.
For the Wilmington, Trolley Square, Talleyville, Claymont area:
Comparing the Median Sales Price of Dec 2008 vs.Dec 2007 we see a 13.7% decrease - $195,000 down from $226,000. Average Days on Market increased from 87 DOM in Dec 2007 to 98 DOM in Dec 2008. Keep in mind this is a one month comparison, to view the 12 month chart with a polynomial trend line click on the "Download" links below.
As always for questions on your particular real estate situation contact me directly at 302-740-5872 or John@JohnLuca.com .
JohnClick on Links below to see Charts and Tables:
Download RT Wilmington + Brandywine John Luca Dec 2008
Download RT Hock-Greenville John Luca Dec 2008
It's no surprise that market activity has slowed down in the last couple years, however, being a statistical person, I enjoy studying charts (I was a technical trader on the "street" for JP Morgan trading federal funds, eurodollars, derivatives, treasuries, etc. using chart analytics, and I consider it fun). Meanwhile, John not only studies the statistics, he lives in the market daily with the clients and has a feel for the market that goes beyond stats.
Being the techy, I wanted to get the charts out right away now that 2008 has wrapped up, in case any of you like to study the numbers in the market. While I've created all the analytics below for both December and the past two years for your own review, I think it's always helpful to know a couple high level statistics to see the overall flow.
As you can see from the 2 years charts for New Castle County:
Monthly Supply of Inventory has risen from Dec. 2006 at 6.1 months to Dec. 2008 at 11.9 months, meaning at the current sales rate, it would take almost twice as long to sell all the homes currently on the market as it would have taken two years ago.
This is supported by the fact that while Properties for Sale only increased 10.8% between Dec. 2006 and Dec. 2008, the purchase of those home slowed as Sold Homes dropped by 54.1% at year end 2006 vs. 2008.
Another important statistic is that Sold Homes Average Days on Market (DOM) increased from 45 days to 88 days from Dec. 2006 to Dec. 2008- almost doubling.
From all this we take, what we mostly knew - there are not significantly more homes for sale on the market, just longer days on market due to less buyer contracts. A bright spot I see here is, it could be worse - there could more significantly more homes on the market in addition to less demand. So when buyer confidence returns, the MSI should be able to drop back down faster than in an environment where the homes for sale increased significantly.
Now for fun I'd love to study these trends using technical analytics like Bollinger Bands or Fibonacci retracements, however, I don't have that software right now to apply to these statistics and need to get back to work on more meaningful systems for our clients such as updating our MLS Home Search Software (look for Sold Home data to appear there soon!).
John is at work on another computer right now, but hopefully will get to post some market "color" for you from his experience in the market in December (the market is still moving - we were able to help 5 buyers and 1 seller settle in December alone). Until then, feel free to give him a call if you'd like to get that color over the phone or have specific questions answered (302-740-5872; 302-999-6966)
Happy New Year - Mary Luca
Download NCC Supply and Demand Analysis John Luca Dec 2008
Download NCC Home Price Analysis John Luca Dec 2008
Download NCC Month Supply Inventory Analysis John Luca Dec 2008
Download NCC Month Supply Inventory Analysis John Luca 2007- 2008
Download NCC Home Price Analysis John Luca 2007- 2008
Download NCC Supply and Demand Analysis John Luca 2007- 2008
If you're a local, you know that you can cross the line into PA or MD within just 5-10 minutes from the Newark, Hockessin or Pike Creek area - it's all so close. What you may not know is that some builders actively built neighborhoods in more than 1 state. For example, the Hillstream neighborhood spans both Newark, DE and Landenberg PA. In addition, Thistleberry Farms in Newark, DE has the exact same floor plans.
What does this mean to the real estate consumer? When looking for a home, make sure you and your real estate agent look at the value across state lines - even if you prefer one state. Looking at the comparables of these homes can help you understand whether or not the home you are considering bidding on is a good value or not.
For example, a buyer client of mine recently bid on a home in PA and the buyer and seller could not come to an agreement on price, so no deal was struck. As interest rates came down, the PA home became more affordable in monthly payment terms, however by then the buyer and I were looking both in PA and DE at other homes. We found a home in DE with the exact same floor plan, with many more upgrades, for a slightly higher asking price. However, with the lower DE property taxes, the all-in cost to my buyer was less that the original home in PA. Our buyer chose the DE home, and happily settled two days ago (see video).
What insights can we share from this scenario?
Does this mean DE is a better value than PA or MD?
Absolutely Not! There are many factors that come into play when purchasing a home - commute, school choices, asking price, taxes - both real estate and income depending on where you work, deed restrictions, laws (such as homeschooling), and plain old preference. The key is to know your requirements and your preferences if you are a buyer, then use a team of experts in the area to help you find your next home and negotiate the best financial deal. And if you are a seller, work with a team that can market your home's benefits and value - there is a buyer for your home if it's priced in the market, staged to show well, and marketed properly.
John (302-740-5872)
Currently in the areas of Elsmere, Newport and Pike Creek (referred to as NCC Zone 3), in a perfect first-time buyer price range of $0-$160,000 we have a bona-fide seller's market.
What is "seller's market"? The National Association of Realtors defines a seller's market as any area that has 6 months of inventory or less. The current inventory level of Zone 3 for $0-$160k is 47 units with an average of 11 sales per month, which equates to just 4.3 months of inventory.
New Castle County as a whole has an 8.6 months supply of inventory. Looking at the remainder of NCC from $0-$160k it's even longer - a 10.7 month supply. Both of these numbers point to a buyer's market in NCC on the whole, as opposed to a seller's market in Zone 3 in this price range.
Are you looking to buy or sell? Let me help you find value in today's market.
John Luca (302) 740-5872 John@TriStateTeam.com
(in which we happen to have a hot new listing)
Click on the links below to view the market statistics for November 2008 for the past year.
As far as inventory is concerned, you'll notice that the For Sale, Sold and Under Contract average Days On Market (DOM) for New Castle County (NCC) crept up in November, while Months Supply of Inventory (how long it would take to sell all the inventory currently on the market at today's sales rate) crept up as well.
While that shows what we all know, that the market has slowed on average there are positive notes. In addition to the anecdotal evidence of John's previous post this week noting sales contracts for homes that are priced right and show well and the bonus buyers and sellers receive from the drop in interest rates, there are statistical bright spots. On a positive note for sellers, the number of new properties For Sale and New to market each month has been steadily declining for the past few months. That's less competition entering the field each month.
In addition, John's daily work in the market is showing him where pockets of activity are - he'll be posting on a seller's market he's discovered tomorrow.
If you have an area you are interested in buying or selling in, don't just go by what the headlines say and make a local assumption. Talk to someone who is working in the market all day, every day - who has a feel for it through actual market experience and negotiations. Someone who will study pockets of local activity where your specific area of interest lies. Then, once you have that expert advice from your real estate consultant, decide what makes the most sense for you at this point in your life.
To contact John for a private local analysis for yourself or a friend, just drop him a line at John@TriStateTeam.com or call me on 302-740-5872.
Download NCC Home Price Analysis John Luca Nov 2008
Download NCC Supply and Demand Analysis John Luca Nov 2008
Download NCC Month Supply Inventory Analysis John Luca Nov 2008
Mary B. Luca; MBA; ePro; Realtor DE & PA; Mary@TriStateTeam.com
I've experienced a little spike in the local market just in the past week as I've been blessed to help clients get 3 signed contracts - 2 for our buyers and 1 for our seller. So there is still life in the market!
Additionally, interest rates have dropped in the last couple weeks - and this provides a benefit to both buyers (whose purchasing dollars are stretched farther by saving interest) and sellers (whose homes become more affordable for buyers).
Look at this simple example:
As of yesterday, the 30 year fixed was hovering around 5.625% Back on 11/20, we were around 6.125% Here are different payments these rates would imply, principal and interest (taxes and home owners insurance not included.) As you see the $150k buyer would save about $575 per year in payments, while the $400k buyer would save about $1528 per year! To learn more about the market activity or how these rates might affect your buying or selling ability, please feel free to call me at 302-740-5872 or shoot me an email at John@TriStateTeam.com Have a great day! John Luca
To View the Latest New Castle County Market Analysis either click on the charts below to enlarge or use the Download links to view the files:
Download NCC Month Supply Inventory Analysis Oct 2008
Download NCC Home Price Analysis Oct 2008
Download NCC Supply and Demand Analysis Oct 2008
To discuss home buying or selling related to these statistics, contact John Luca 302-740-5872
5.625% 30 year fixed……zero points
Contact Jason for details - Jason@JohnLuca.com
(302) 999-6940 (302) 999-0578
The Key to a good investment is the Rate of Return, otherwise known as ROI for Return on Investment. The historical ROI on real estate has been approximately 11%.
Statistics will prove, if a person:
How can this be?
Let's use the following example:
A person buys a $100,000 investment property with a 15 year mortgage. 15 years later the home is sold for $100,000. The net return is $80,000 for a $20,000 initial investment. The ROI is 10.78%.
Appreciation and a positive monthly cash flow, are "icing on the cake".
The bottom line is, you can still have a large ROI without appreciation or a positive cash flow.
For an in-depth discussion on investmenting in real estate, contact John Luca - John@TriStateTeam.com 302-999-6966
Your credit report: Knowing is half the battle
Your credit score can either be a badge of honor or a dark cloud over your head. Good credit gets you low rates on mortgages, low rates on auto loans, and any credit card that you choose. Bad credit gets you turned down for mortgages, sky-high interest rates on auto loans, and secured credit cards that are worse than the terms that a loan shark would give. Nowadays employers, the military, and even your children’s private school may request a copy of your credit report.
If you are reading this blog, then most likely you are shopping for a home. If you do not know if your credit is good enough to buy a home, now is the time to check your report. I have had many people call me who had been shopping for homes online for months without having their credit checked. Some of them were quite surprised to find items on their credit report that they did not recognize. Some of these were negative items, often referred to as “derogs” (short for derogatory.) In some cases these potential buyers were unable to get the lowest rate, or even worse get approved at all.
There are so many websites and so many people that want to tell you how to have great credit. Many of them are confusing, and many of them are contradictory. I prefer to keep things simple, start by getting a copy of your report. In my opinion annualcreditreport.com is the best site on the internet to get a free copy of your report. Take a good long look at the report and ask yourself the following questions:
1) Do I recognize every account?
This happens more than you may think. It is one thing to have a derog on your report if you are at fault; it is another if it is not. If you believe that an account on your report does not belong to you, follow the instructions on annualcreditreport.com to dispute it.
2) Should this old debt STILL be on my report?
Old collection accounts and tax liens should only be on your report for seven years since their last activity. Are they older than this? Dispute them.
3) Was I really late on my bill that month?
I recently had a woman come to me with a credit report that stated that she was four payments behind on her credit card last year. This was during the time that she was having a charge reversed to a merchant who charged her for merchandise that she never received. She disputed it, the lateness was corrected.
The best part about your credit report is it tells you how to improve it! Somewhere at the top or the bottom of every report is a list of the four things that you can do to improve your score. These are not generic suggestions; these are suggestions that are customized to you based upon your report. The worst thing that you can do when the stock market is down is to not open your monthly statements. The worst thing you can do when you fear that your credit score is down is to not look at your report. Until you know what is on your report, you will never know how to improve it.
Submitted by: Jason Infanti
For further assistance contact Jason via email: Jason@JohnLuca.com or phone: 302-999-6940 referencing his blog article